Monday, June 27, 2011

ALL ARE SICK !


ALL ARE  SICK !
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Nothing will happen in this Anti Corruption Drive, all (80-90%) are ill, that is, “morally corrupt”, be it poorest of the poor or the rich, all for money anyhow, no ethics but pride in earning money, be that illegally earned, even family members, father to mother to wife/husband to children boast, say with pride that “upri Kamai” i.e.  Bribe earning of him/her is this much.
Society is jealous of one’s bribe income, not hates but is jealous. That is, society too wants there should be one in the family who will bring home a lot of bribe money, salary (honest) income is not given value, prestige is in bribe income. So all are sick & morally corrupt.

Why we are in this state of mind ?

Capitalism (I know communism & socialism have badly failed & capitalism saved China, East European nations from disasters), I think took away all the ideals in old times world had.
Now education is teaching skills for earning money only, all from youth to elderly are morally corrupt, family members are proud of illegal money, feel no shame in asking “how much upri(extra) you earn?”.

Then the cost of living, penchant for luxury life style, inflation, food price rise, population growth, rise in fundamentalism, increase faith in astrology, vastu (see TV, it’s  now a mind boggling industry & we say we are modern!), people know (the poorest & the richest), money only is the survival.

So we are not living in a mentally corrupt system, but a naturally corrupt system (mind, I used NATURALLY CORRUPT SYSTEM), that is a system by the nature, a naturally evolved system, be it India, European nations, USA, China(see IMF chief in jail, world bank chief in controversy for spending millions in luxury to attend conventions to save environment).
Then ?
Nature actually understands far ahead of us, the techniques, technologies we are discovering today, the nature has discovered & used them far ago, be it aviation or physics, biology or anything, so seeing this unmanageable population growth, wide spread plundering of natural resources & limited natural resources, NATURE  has taken this CORRUPTION ROUTE  for survival, to save the wealth of the world & to save the world from extinction, to ensure further development of the world or this world will just be scattered away, spilled away, will fritter.

(I add that, this analysis may be right, but is highly controversial, I will like anybody to counter this theory & prove it wrong, I will welcome, if this concept is defeated. Also wherever I used “all”, I actually meant “most” i.e. 80%, 90%).

Subhro Das
Conceptulised 11/05/11, Written 27/06/11

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

FOOD PRICE: THE MOST SURPRISING

FOOD PRICE: THE MOST SURPRISING


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When food prices are not to come down, as food prices are very crucial & very SURPRISING THING among all things as shooting food prices can bring down prices (can cause crash) of all other items,  can make "the money" totally useless, as well as can give rise to uncontrollable inflation.



Food has to bought & daily, one cant defer it, can postpone any other item, but not food, so if food prices shoot up steeply other items will suffer & lose price, that is even if on the face, prices of other items may not seem to fall, but actually are falling as high inflation due to food prices is deceasing the value of money very fast.



Here is the point, as your money is losing value so the prices of other items are decreasing, even if they appear standstill.



Also as agriculture cost will rise due to rise of food prices as a causal effect so agrarian labour cost will sharply rise, so will cause reduction in employment & agriculture will turn into less labour intensive & dependent on mechanization also contract farming will replace traditional farming more & more.



One or two persons will manage a large tract of farm land along with this large agriculture farm fields are being taken on lease by one country in other far away countries, this is being done to make sure meeting the large future need of food, but will enhance food cost tremendously, IT IS HIGHLY IMPORTANT FOR TODAY’S ECONOMISTS TO ANALYZE THIS ASPECT.



As money goes to buy food, other items suffer & as other items suffer, so the other sectors (industries) suffer as it results into low take off industrial products, so blue colour employees as will be highly hit, so the white colour ones too will also be gradually hit, as high food price will slacken other sectors.



Printing money to counter the high food price & to create employment will add to higher food price & create unemployment, as a money printing economy will generate only a negative impact, unlike in usual recession & inflation, it requires very deep analysis, as it has a wide ramification & world is sitting on this, also food tracts are being converted into bio fuel plant farm lands & special economic zones.

So point is FOOD PRICE is a very surprising thing, as it has a queer effect.



Subhro Das



Conceptualized July10 to August10

Written 01/06/11

Thursday, June 2, 2011

INFLATION & SAVINGS

INFLATION & SAVINGS: SAVING FOR THE RAINY DAY


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There is a tendency in most people that when there is high inflation (i.e. over 7% per annum), that is, when prices of things are going up & one is finding to buy things (any, small to big getting costlier by the day), to hold money, i.e. tendency is not to buy or defer purchases & hold.

The tendency develops because of an inherent tendency to keep, envisaging a gloomy future, sensing a rainy day looming ahead, as high inflation that causes the fast price rise, generates a fear psychosis, which makes people more prone to keep money as deposits & to hold more for future safety.



But here they actually go absolutely wrong. That, theory is, which does not come to anybody’s mind, that when it is good time, inflation is moderate, one should save, not go for over spending, and set aside some money, more or less keeping in mind one’s future need, one’s plan & ambition.



But never overdo with savings (I have come across many middle class old persons over 60, keeping as fixed deposits more than Rs30, 40 lac,(Indian rupees), without a need, just anticipating a rainy day, they spent whole life i.e. up to 60 miserly & curtailing expenses & now still doing the same, is there a life after 60? You may die at 70 or 80, does it matter? Because you will not get younger, your abdomen will not support your tongue, your body will not match your thoughts, then why the money? Spend it & if you can’t, give away to the needy. BUT, DON’T HOARD.



In this nature everything will perish & decay; the human the most valuable thing created by the nature also does not live for ever only 70/80 years & after 60 begins to sag & the universe itself will one day perish, when The Nature itself does not hoard, then why should you?



2nd part of the theory is, spending when there is high inflation, that is in an inflationary economy one must increase one’s spending to gain maximum out of inflation or minimize the loss due to inflation, avoid erosion of value of money, it may appear a very bad idea & absurd to many, but is actually a truth.



That, in high inflation if you keep paper money (in the shape of cash, bank deposits, fixed deposits or bonds), you are actually amassing worthless papers,(I am not talking about stocks & equities as they are actually not money but materials I will explain why so, just now), so do away with your money in high inflation & spend or change them to materials: goods, metals, land, house & stocks, now you can follow why I categorized stocks as materials, as value of a stock lies in the value of an entity(the company), surely one has to be very prudent about picking up a suitable stock i.e. a good company & has to envisage future prospect of that entity & be very selective in this matter, it is like seeing the future prospect of a material.



But, main point, THE THEORY, is in high inflation one must do away with cash & cash forms & spend & take up material & material forms & at good times save reasonably.

Conceptualized: 01/01/11

Written: 02/06/11